THE General Election exit poll has predicted the result of every seat in the UK, but should be taken with a pinch of salt in Scotland.
Over the whole of the UK, the Ipsos exit poll projected Labour would win 410 MPs, the Tories 131, and the SNP just 10.
Reform UK were projected to win 13 MPs, the Greens two, and Plaid Cymru four.
However, the Scottish results have seen some odd predictions – and even Conservative sources have dismissed their projected gains as “bollocks”.
Professor John Curtice has issued a "health warning" about the predicted SNP results.
Here is, according to the exit poll, the most likely winner of every seat in Scotland. Bear in mind that due to some being ranked as “too close to call”, the number totals are different to the exit poll’s:
- Aberdeen North – too close to call: 61% SNP, 39% Labour
- Aberdeen South – too close to call: 44% Con, 39% Labour
- Aberdeenshire North and Moray East – likely Con hold: 99% Con, 1% SNP
- Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine – likely Con hold: 98% Con, 1% Lab, 1% SNP
- Airdrie and Shotts – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Alloa and Grangemouth – likely SNP hold: 99%+ SNP hold
- Angus and Perthshire Glens – too close to call: 57% Con, 42% SNP
- Arbroath and Broughty Ferry – likely SNP hold: 99%+ SNP
- Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber – too close to call: 46% Con, 22% SNP
- Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock – too close to call: 78% Lab, 16% Con
- Bathgate & Linlithgow – too close to call: 59% Lab, 41% SNP
- Berwick, Roxburgh & Selkirk – likely Con hold: 99%+ Con
- Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross – likely LibDem gain: 99%+ LibDem
- Central Ayrshire – possible Lab gain: 86% Lab, 11% SNP, 3% Con
- Coatbridge & Belshill – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Cowdenbeath & Kirkcaldy – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch – too close to call: 72% Lab, 28% SNP
- Dumfries & Galloway – too close to call: 76% Con, 25% Lab
- Dunbartonshire West – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Dundee Central – possible SNP hold: 87% SNP, 13% Lab
- Dunfermline & Dollar – possible Lab gain: 93% Lab, 7% SNP
- East Kilbride and Strathaven – too close to call: 57% Lab, 43% SNP
- East Renfrewshire – possible Lab gain: 85% Lab, 14% Con
- Edinburgh East & Musselburgh – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Edinburgh North and Leith – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Edinburgh South – likely Lab hold: 99%+ Lab
- Edinburgh South West – likely Lab gain: 96% Lab, 4% SNP
- Edinburgh West – likely LibDem hold: 99%+ LibDem
- Falkirk – likely SNP hold: 99%+ SNP
- Glasgow East – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Glasgow North – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Glasgow North East – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Glasgow South – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Glasgow South West – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Glasgow West – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Glenrothes & Mid Fife – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Gordon & Buchan – too close to call: 58% Con, 42% SNP
- Hamilton and Clyde Valley – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Inverclyde & Renfrewshire – likely Lab gain: 99%, 1% SNP
- Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire – too close to call: 74% SNP, 15% LibDem gain
- Kilmarnock & Loudon – too close to call: 77% SNP, 23% Lab
- Livingston – too close to call: 56% lab, 44% SNP
- Lothian East – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Mid Dunbartonshire – likely LibDem gain: 99%+ LibDem
- Midlothian – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Moray West, Nairn & Strathspey – likely Con gain: 95% Con, 5% SNP, 1% Lab
- Motherwell, Wishaw & Carluke – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- Na h-Eileanan an lar – likely Lab gain: 99%+ Lab
- North Ayrshire & Arran – too close to call: 65% Lab, 34% SNP
- North East Fife – likely LibDem hold: 99%+ LibDem
- Orkney & Shetland – likely LibDem hold: 99%+ LibDem
- Paisley & Renfrewshire North – too close to call: 68% Lab, 32% SNP
- Paisley & Renfrewshire South – too close to call: 80% Lab, 20% SNP
- Perth & Kinross-shire – likely Con gain: 99% Con, 1% SNP
- Rutherglen – likely Lab hold: 99%+
- Stirling & Strathallan – too close to call: 44% Con, 37% SNP
Why are you making commenting on The National only available to subscribers?
We know there are thousands of National readers who want to debate, argue and go back and forth in the comments section of our stories. We’ve got the most informed readers in Scotland, asking each other the big questions about the future of our country.
Unfortunately, though, these important debates are being spoiled by a vocal minority of trolls who aren’t really interested in the issues, try to derail the conversations, register under fake names, and post vile abuse.
So that’s why we’ve decided to make the ability to comment only available to our paying subscribers. That way, all the trolls who post abuse on our website will have to pay if they want to join the debate – and risk a permanent ban from the account that they subscribe with.
The conversation will go back to what it should be about – people who care passionately about the issues, but disagree constructively on what we should do about them. Let’s get that debate started!
Callum Baird, Editor of The National
Comments: Our rules
We want our comments to be a lively and valuable part of our community - a place where readers can debate and engage with the most important local issues. The ability to comment on our stories is a privilege, not a right, however, and that privilege may be withdrawn if it is abused or misused.
Please report any comments that break our rules.
Read the rules here