SCOTLAND’S economy has outperformed the rest of the UK in recent years with higher growth per head of population, the Institute for Fiscal Studies has said.
Speaking to the BBC’s Sunday Show, David Phillips, head of devolved and local government finance at the IFS, said Scotland was one of the most well-off regions of the UK, outperforming Wales and Northern Ireland as well as the north of England and the midlands.
When it comes to economic growth, he added that on a per person basis, Scotland’s economy has been performing better than the rest of the UK since the pandemic.
Phillips said: “Scotland is one of the more better off regions of the UK. It’s behind London and the south east of England, but its well ahead of the midlands and north of England, not to mention Wales and Northern Ireland.
“Scotland’s got a broad-based economy, a relatively well-educated workforce, and of course oil and gas and associated activity onshore do look much larger than they do in the rest of the UK.
READ MORE: Labour would leave NHS worse off than austerity years, research says
“I think looking at growth recently, Scotland has very slightly outperformed growth in the rest of the UK over the last few years.
“On a per person basis, Scotland’s economy is slightly larger than before the pandemic whilst in the rest of the UK it’s very slightly lower.”
He added this followed a period in the second half of the 2010s when Scotland’s economy was a bit weaker than the rest of the UK.
Last week a key survey by the Royal Bank of Scotland found Scotland was a “standout” performer among the UK nations and regions with its private sector economic growth in May accelerating the fastest pace in two years.
The latest PMI (purchasing manager’s index) showed that Scotland’s private sector growth in May was second-fastest among the UK’s 12 nations and regions, behind only Northern Ireland and ahead of London.
The acceleration of growth in Scotland contrasted with a slowing of expansion in the overall UK private sector economy last month.
Employment growth in Scotland was third-fastest among the UK nations and regions, behind only Northern Ireland and north-west England, accelerating in May to its fastest pace in three months.
Phillips said the fortunes of Scotland’s economy linked strongly to activity in the North Sea.
“When there’s growth in the oil and gas industry, Scotland’s economy tends to outperform a little bit compared to the rest of the UK. When it’s struggling, as it was between 2014 and 2021, Scotland’s economy tends to do a bit worse,” added Phillips.
READ MORE: SNP can be quietly confident in new Yes City constituency
“That’s not because oil and gas is such a large share of the economy, but there’s a lot of activity between the north east of Scotland that still links up to that.”
When asked if Scotland’s economic growth was significant enough to make a difference to the economy though, Phillips was sceptical.
He said: “If you look back over the last five years, Scotland’s economy compared with 2019 is about 1.5% bigger per person. That’s growth of 0.3% per year.
“If you compare that to the growth we were used to in the 2000s, that’s very slow.”
Why are you making commenting on The National only available to subscribers?
We know there are thousands of National readers who want to debate, argue and go back and forth in the comments section of our stories. We’ve got the most informed readers in Scotland, asking each other the big questions about the future of our country.
Unfortunately, though, these important debates are being spoiled by a vocal minority of trolls who aren’t really interested in the issues, try to derail the conversations, register under fake names, and post vile abuse.
So that’s why we’ve decided to make the ability to comment only available to our paying subscribers. That way, all the trolls who post abuse on our website will have to pay if they want to join the debate – and risk a permanent ban from the account that they subscribe with.
The conversation will go back to what it should be about – people who care passionately about the issues, but disagree constructively on what we should do about them. Let’s get that debate started!
Callum Baird, Editor of The National
Comments: Our rules
We want our comments to be a lively and valuable part of our community - a place where readers can debate and engage with the most important local issues. The ability to comment on our stories is a privilege, not a right, however, and that privilege may be withdrawn if it is abused or misused.
Please report any comments that break our rules.
Read the rules hereLast Updated:
Report this comment Cancel