TEN seats in Scotland which could be key battlegrounds at the General Elections have been revealed in a major poll.
New analysis by the Sunday National has identified the seats where the gap between the two largest parties’ vote share is 2% or less.
The data, drawn from an MRP poll published by YouGov in January, suggests some of the constituencies where the tightest contests will take place on current voting intentions.
Three of the seats are so tight the share of the vote is registered as 0%, while four have a 1% gap and another three have a difference of 2%.
READ MORE: General Election Scotland: Use our map as a seat-by-seat guide
And the results show how close the battle could be between the SNP and Labour in several areas.
Five of the seats are predicted to be Labour gains from the SNP, with three expected to be held by the SNP, according to the YouGov poll.
One is expected to be an SNP gain from the Tories, while there is also one seat predicted to be a Tory hold.
Most of the seats are currently held by SNP MPs - but Alister Jack's constituency of Dumfries and Galloway is expected to see a close battle for the SNP to take the seat from the Tories.
The YouGov poll gave the first seat-by-seat projections for 2024 in the most extensive survey undertaken by the firm in five years, using data from more than 14,000 respondents answering between December 12 and January 4.
It predicted a huge wipeout for the Tories and a majority for Labour in the UK, while it found the SNP is almost neck and neck with Scottish Labour.
READ MORE: General Election Watch: Uncertainty is the only election certainty
It found Humza Yousaf’s party is set for 25 seats, while 24 seats could be picked up by Scottish Labour, an increase of 22.
However, polls carried out since then have suggested a different picture, with an Ipsos survey earlier this month finding the SNP would lead Labour by seven points and win 40 seats if a General Election were held tomorrow.
A fresh poll by Find Out Now and Electoral Calculus last week also found a predicted 40 seats for the SNP, with 14 for Labour.
Ten potential Scottish election battlegrounds
Dunfermline and Dollar
Prediction: Labour gain from SNP
Vote share difference: 0%
Edinburgh North and Leith
Prediction: SNP hold
Vote share difference: 0%
Livingston
Prediction: SNP hold
Vote share difference: 0%
Dumfries and Galloway
Prediction: SNP gain from Conservatives
Vote share difference: 1%
Gordon and Buchan
Prediction: Conservative hold
Vote share difference: 1%
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West
Prediction: SNP hold
Vote share difference: 1%
Paisley and Renfrewshire North
Prediction: Labour gain from SNP
Vote share difference: 1%
Glasgow West
Prediction: Labour gain from SNP
Vote share difference: 2%
Glenrothes and Mid-Fife
Prediction: Labour gain from SNP
Vote share difference: 2%
Mid Dunbartonshire
Prediction: Labour gain from SNP
Vote share difference: 2%
Why are you making commenting on The National only available to subscribers?
We know there are thousands of National readers who want to debate, argue and go back and forth in the comments section of our stories. We’ve got the most informed readers in Scotland, asking each other the big questions about the future of our country.
Unfortunately, though, these important debates are being spoiled by a vocal minority of trolls who aren’t really interested in the issues, try to derail the conversations, register under fake names, and post vile abuse.
So that’s why we’ve decided to make the ability to comment only available to our paying subscribers. That way, all the trolls who post abuse on our website will have to pay if they want to join the debate – and risk a permanent ban from the account that they subscribe with.
The conversation will go back to what it should be about – people who care passionately about the issues, but disagree constructively on what we should do about them. Let’s get that debate started!
Callum Baird, Editor of The National
Comments: Our rules
We want our comments to be a lively and valuable part of our community - a place where readers can debate and engage with the most important local issues. The ability to comment on our stories is a privilege, not a right, however, and that privilege may be withdrawn if it is abused or misused.
Please report any comments that break our rules.
Read the rules hereLast Updated:
Report this comment Cancel